Texas Fencing Academy Cup 1

Y-14 Mixed Épée

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Texas Fencing Academy - Austin, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ELLMER Ava 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
2 WILKENS Benedict 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
3 FRENCH Drake 100% 97% 73% 33% 7% < 1%
3 KEPLER Kyle 100% 99% 86% 48% 12% 1%
5 PARKER Bowen 100% 99% 93% 64% 23% 2%
6 BEAVERS Cole 100% 97% 76% 36% 7% -
7 LAU Avery 100% 88% 51% 15% 1% -
8 OZGUN Meryem 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
9 RANGEL SANTANA Sophia 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
10 JERKINS Gianni 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
11 DENTON Kaleb 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
12 GARCIA Allen 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
13 RIEDL Luke 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
14 DONG Yueya 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
15 ROSSBACH Coralie 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 3%
16 PARNELL Camellia 100% 100% 90% 54% 11% -
17 LOPEZ Elijah 100% 100% 93% 71% 34% 7%
18 SOON Elliott 100% 94% 61% 22% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.