Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Div II Men's Foil

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DEEB Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 48%
2 POPESCU Tudor 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
3 THOMAS Liam 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
3 GATES Combustion 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
5 LARGAESPADA LUIS V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
6 BAKER Stephen 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
7 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
8 BAKSHI Aman 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
9 METZ Mason 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
10 KIM Daniel 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
11 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
12 WEI JR Shan 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
13 GECKELER James 100% 96% 75% 36% 8% 1%
14 O'LEARY Colin 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
15 MA Leon 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
16 PETERSON Dale 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
17 NIECHWADOWICZ Michael 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9%
18 PEREZ Logan 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
19 GRUNENWALD Henri 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 4%
20 JANNEY Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 9%
21 LAO Kevin 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 3%
22 JAZWINSKI Ryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 2%
23 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
24 STURGIS Zachary C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
25 ANGELOS Nico 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
26 STAFFORD Gareth 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
27 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
28 LEE Thomas 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
29 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
30 DAO-CRESPO Joaquin 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% -
31 SUSANTO William 100% 99% 90% 61% 22% 3%
32 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
33 POLEBOYINA Amrit 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
34 CHUN Zachary 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1%
35 SANTHOSH Rithwik 100% 70% 28% 6% < 1% -
36 EZEKIEL Nathan 100% 99% 92% 63% 24% 4% -
37 SCHEURER Edwin 100% 93% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
38 MUNDAHL Brandon 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
39 ROJAS Elijah 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
40 ZHANG Ethan 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
41 BAS Jonathan 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
42 CHOI Hunter 100% 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% -
43 KWON Chase 100% 100% 97% 75% 36% 9% 1%
44 CAO Justin 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 14% 1%
45 AMRANI David 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
46 MA Sean 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
47 CHUN Alexander 100% 81% 28% 4% - - -
48 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
49 SOBON Jason 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
50 LIANG Haojia 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
51 TAM Kyle 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 6%
52 BHATT Jayan 100% 89% 51% 16% 2% - -
53 ESPINAL Ryan 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
54 XU Ryan 100% 97% 77% 41% 11% 1%
55 MIRCHANDANI Aditya 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
56 ZHANG Julian 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1%
57 SINCAVAGE Louis 100% 68% 20% 3% - -
58 WANG Luke 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
59 LINDEMANN Marc 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 21% 2%
60 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 96% 58% 19% 3% - -
61 BARBANEL Joseph 100% 94% 67% 28% 6% 1% -
62 DAWSON Myer 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
63 ELSAYED Ahmed 100% 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
64 ALABI Adriel 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
65 TANG Jeremy 100% 96% 71% 31% 7% 1% -
66 LINGAMPALLI Sashank 100% 22% 2% - - - -
67 COREAS Jonathan 100% 70% 21% 3% - - -
68 HUSOCK Dillon 100% 67% 20% 3% - -
69 POLEPALLI Vinil 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
70 LINDEMANN Conrad 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
71 HOWARD Mekai 100% 44% 7% - - - -
72 DINIO Clara J. 100% 61% 14% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.