Mercado Classic

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Sunday, September 28, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Phoenix Fencing Academy - Tempe, AZ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DING Kyen 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 24%
2 WHITE CAREY Alberta 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
3 TRIMBLE Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26% 2%
3 WONG Chloe 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
5 CHAN Ethan 100% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
6 GRIGGS Tucker 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
7 PEDERSEN Arie 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
8 TAI Lawrence 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
9 ROSAS Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
10 CURLEY Asha 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
11 KUNIMOTO Zara 100% 92% 57% 18% 3% -
12 BECKER Valentina 100% 98% 81% 41% 9% -
13 GOLDENSTEIN Amelie 100% 99% 93% 74% 44% 16% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.