Battle At The Beach ROC/RJCC

Div III Women's Foil

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Prime F. Osborn III Convention Center - Jacksonville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SHANG Arianna 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 5%
2 UHRICH Reese 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4%
3 MOORE Addisyn 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
3 FERRONE Gianna 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 12%
5 BABER Eshaal 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
6 WU Lorena 100% 92% 62% 23% 3%
7 IQBAL Mariam 100% 100% 98% 82% 40%
8 VENZON Makena Jane 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
9 JAIN Dia 100% 88% 50% 12% 1% -
10 LENZ Phoebe 100% 75% 30% 5% - -
11 MILLER Vai 100% 81% 38% 8% 1% -
12 WONG Grace 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
13 TEPLOVA Elizabeth 100% 80% 38% 9% 1%
14 HORVATH Calliope 100% 90% 57% 19% 2%
15 FIERRO Elizabeth 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
16 ORLOVA Elena 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 14%
17 WIKSTEN Ava 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.