Battle At The Beach ROC/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Prime F. Osborn III Convention Center - Jacksonville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CRAIN Bennett 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10%
2 MCGUIRE Christian 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
3 HALL Noah 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
3 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18%
5 YADAV Lakshya 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
6 LIU Victor 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 12%
7 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
8 HARRINGTON Connor 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
9 FANG Eason 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 10%
10 LIN Patrick 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7%
11 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 20%
12 HUNG Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
12 DE SOUZA CABRERO Yorrick 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
14 GUYDOUK Alexey 100% 94% 65% 25% 4% -
15 PARCELL Colby 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
16 DENIZE Paul Edmond Alexandre 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
17 XIA Matthew 100% 98% 85% 50% 13% 1%
17 WASCO Andrew 100% 99% 91% 57% 19% 3%
19 MOTTLAU Maddox 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
20 YAO Zachary 100% 90% 52% 17% 3% -
21 DULAY Peter 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
22 HAYES David 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 8%
23 TOSCANO Sebastian 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% -
24 YADAV Ajay 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
25 MANNINO Miller 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% -
26 PAK Andrew 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
27 NAGRANI Jai 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
27 RIVERA-HERNÁNDEZ Javier 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
29 VAZQUEZ-PEREZ Yesh 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
30 ZAIDI Jeff 100% 90% 48% 12% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.