Battle At The Beach ROC/RJCC

Div II Women's Épée

Sunday, August 31, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Prime F. Osborn III Convention Center - Jacksonville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HILBY Olivia 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 4%
2 LEWIS Rachel 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
3 RAFFERTY Catherine 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
3 NOLAN Sophia 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
5 SILVA Hailey 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
6 GERARDIN Marie 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
7 COMBS Hannah 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4%
8 PEKKER Adel 100% 89% 53% 15% 2% -
9 LUGGREN Eva 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
9 CORONADO María Fernanda 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
11 BURMEISTER Jules 100% 80% 36% 6% - -
12 SAYER Laura 100% 89% 56% 21% 3% -
13 DAVIS Elisabeth 100% 93% 67% 30% 6% -
14 COLLINS Hannah 100% 100% 96% 76% 29% 2%
15 PHAM Hailey 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
16 PASCHEL Christie 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
17 MOSCOSO SERRANO Andrea 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% -
18 HOUSMANS Emma 100% 76% 32% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.