Manchen Friday Night "E & Under" Saber

E & Under Mixed Saber

Friday, October 3, 2025 at 6:15 PM

Manchen Academy of Fencing - Whitehouse Station, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 SUN Stephen 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
2 MENKEN Asher 100% 99% 86% 47% 8%
3 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 81% 39% 8% < 1%
3 BABIGIAN Jason 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
5 NADINA Ksenia 100% 75% 25% 3% -
6 THOMAS Hailey 100% 77% 36% 8% 1%
7 PIOTROWSKI Isabel 100% 95% 69% 29% 5%
8 SACHIN Saanvi 100% 100% 99% 68% 16%
9 LEE Lauren 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
10 CHO Hayoon 100% 83% 40% 9% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.