Foothills Fall Fight 2025

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 2:30 PM

Foothills Fencing Academy - Piedmont, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
2 BIRT David (Dave) L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
3 BEACH Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
3 SNYDER Ari 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 35% 3%
5 KRIEGER Jack 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 45% 8%
6 HICKS Matthew 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
7 FONG Henry 100% 99% 72% 30% 6% 1% -
8 ARZT Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18% 1%
9 VILLANI Henry M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 50% 6%
10 KINSELLA John 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
11 LAUSI Patrick M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
11 RICKMAN Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
13 SHIM Jae 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15% -
14 VERGARA Jace Riley 100% 99% 90% 57% 16% 2% -
15 GEISSLER Maximilian 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1% -
16 STEELE Jeff 100% 96% 71% 25% 3% - -
17 MCBRIDE Caleb C. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
18 CATES Georgia 100% 76% 32% 7% 1% - -
19 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
20 PATEL Divyam 100% 94% 66% 24% 4% - -
21 OLENDER Lexi 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
22 COLLIER Baiden 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2%
23 HICKS Joseph 100% 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
24 MEIER Nicholas M. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
25 MACAUDA Mark M. 100% 77% 29% 5% - - -
26 HERRICK Kerry K. 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
27 GABEL Dorotea 100% 70% 21% 2% - - -
28 GEURTSEN Oliver 100% 8% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.