Mission Fall Classic (Open and Y12)

Mixed Saber

Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 DREYER William 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 6%
2 JUNG Elise 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
3 PIENKOWSKI Olivia 100% 99% 91% 67% 35% 11% 2% -
3 HARRISON Allie 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 4% -
5 COOKE Dallis 100% 87% 54% 22% 5% 1% - -
6 LAYNE-STASIK Magdalena 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
7 ONEILL Daniel 100% 98% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
8 LODOLCE Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.