October NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Salt Palace Convention Center - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIEFER Lee O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99%
2 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
3 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 67%
3 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 67%
5 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
6 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
7 ZHANG Yunjia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
8 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
9 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 87%
10 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
11 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 97% 72% 24%
12 LIN Zhi Tong 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 4%
13 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30%
14 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
15 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 40%
16 LI Han (Helina) 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1%
17 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
18 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
19 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 13%
20 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
21 FENG Grace 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 5%
22 HORSLEY Asherah 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
23 YANG Iris 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
24 SHENG Katherine 100% 97% 77% 40% 9% -
25 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% -
26 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 98% 79% 33%
28 LAI Sophia 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 3%
29 YANG Emma 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
30 KORABLINA Aleksandra 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64% 6%
31 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
32 OH Ceana 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1%
33 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
34 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
35 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
36 LEE Hyeonyoung 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 18%
37 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
38 SHIM Grace J. 100% 97% 77% 35% 7% -
39 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
40 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
41 WANG YIRAN 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
42 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
42 KIM Haeun 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23% -
44 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
45 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21% 2%
47 HARRIS Julia 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1% -
48 ZHOU Chenchu 100% 97% 81% 45% 12% 1% -
49 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
50 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
51 HSU Kaylin 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4% -
52 AADHI Hansika 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% - -
53 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
54 WANG Joanna 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 10% -
55 MI Aileen 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 5%
56 JANG Kimberley 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 5%
57 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10%
58 HONG Sunah 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
59 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
60 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 2%
61 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 99% 84% 40% 7%
62 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
63 ZOU Ella 100% 99% 92% 60% 21% 3% -
64 GUAN Adeline 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
65 XIA Sophia (Youyang) 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
66 WANG YiXi 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 3%
67 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 6%
68 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
69 MCFARLANE Asha 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% < 1% -
70 FENG Audrey 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% -
71 LUO Ziyue 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
72 JOO Natalie 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1%
73 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
74 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
74 SHA Yi Ling 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 1% -
76 LI Eleanor 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
77 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 48% 9%
78 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 99% 90% 57% 17% 1%
79 YANG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 1%
80 KOO Chabin 100% 99% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
81 HU Jenna 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
82 ZHANG Soleil C. 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
83 SUN Emily 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
84 CHUN Adelle Ha-Eune 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 9% 1%
85 XINYAO Zhou 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
86 SAKALLA Serene 100% 78% 34% 7% - -
87 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 5%
88 SHMAY Anastasia 100% 96% 75% 37% 8% -
89 MEI Sarah 100% 100% 96% 78% 37% 7%
90 XIE Lillian 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
91 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
92 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
93 BAE Yooju 100% 99% 92% 61% 21% 3% -
94 LI Sophia M. 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11% -
95 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
95 PAULUS Sloane E. 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 4% -
97 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14% -
98 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 99% 88% 55% 17% 2% -
99 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13% 1%
100 YURKOVA Mariia 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
101 FETECAU Ilinca 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
102 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
103 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5% -
104 LUO Miranda 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
105 KIM Claire 100% 80% 34% 7% 1% - -
106 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
107 SWANSON Alexa 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 3% -
108 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
109 LIU YiYang 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
110 MU Allison 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
111 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1%
112 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 95% 69% 27% 5% -
113 LENK Sophie 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
113 LEUNG Mei Hang (Danise) 100% 98% 85% 51% 15% 1%
115 GREEN Marisa 100% 79% 34% 7% 1% -
116 KOPYLTSOVA Elizaveta 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 18% 1%
117 WANG Amabel 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
118 WYNN Kylie 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% - -
119 YONG Rosalind 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% - -
120 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 61% 15% 2% - - -
121 ZELDIN Nadia 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
122 KIM Sydney 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% - -
123 WATSON Evelyn 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
124 WANG CAROL 100% 97% 78% 38% 6% -
124 WU Nicole Moxuan 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
126 ZHANG Ivy 100% 93% 62% 22% 2% -
127 MUMMANENI Samyuta 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
128 POEI Lauren 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
129 HARRIS Parker 100% 77% 32% 6% 1% - -
130 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
131 LIU Ariana 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
132 LEE Dahyoon 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
133 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
134 LIU Samantha 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 5% -
135 BERGEL Daphne 100% 81% 38% 8% - -
136 SHTEPA Rada 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
137 KOKES Aurora 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 10%
138 OYMANN Renee Louisa 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
139 OWENS Elise 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
140 LI Katerina 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
141 ZEE Savannah 100% 67% 20% 3% - - -
142 PUTHOFF Olivia 100% 48% 8% 1% -
143 COOPER Piper W. 100% 97% 75% 35% 8% 1%
144 XIE Su 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
145 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
146 SEAL Julie T. 100% 99% 84% 49% 15% 2%
146 NARANJO Kristin 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
148 RENTON Samantha 100% 98% 85% 49% 14% 1%
149 LI Joy 100% 45% 10% 1% - -
150 AL-BATTAINEH Eva 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
151 STRUGAR Steliana 100% 99% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
152 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 18%
152 DUAN Sophie 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
154 DAI Iris Yuyang 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
155 SWOPE Farren 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
156 REN Kayley 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2% -
157 BROWN Lola 100% 79% 34% 7% - -
158 QUINN Anna 100% 73% 28% 5% - - -
159 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
160 LI Savannah 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
161 TAO Ann 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
162 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
162 YU Jane 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
164 WANG SIQI 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 9% 1%
165 HAFEZ Tahiyah 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
166 FIELD Julianna 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
167 TROXEL Sylvie A. 100% 79% 27% 4% -
168 PENG Charlotte 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
169 WANG DINA C. 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
170 THERON Zoe 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
171 SHIN Elizabeth 100% 71% 24% 3% - - -
172 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 98% 85% 45% 6%
172 CHOW Annabelle 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
172 ZUNIC Milena 100% 56% 13% 2% - - -
175 JIANG Chloe 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% - -
176 YAN Noelle 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
177 CHOI Kailyn 100% 75% 30% 6% - - -
178 ZAMLYNNY Maya 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
178 CAO Kayla 100% 70% 20% 2% - - -
180 WENDLER Lauren 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.