Nagy Invitational

E & Under Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 5, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Murdough Athletic Center - Hudson, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 JOBE Connor 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
2 WILKINSON Derek H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 76% 15%
3 MCGLASHAN Theo 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
3 SCOTT Alex 100% 96% 71% 25% 2% -
5 RIVERA Ricky N. 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
6 FORTUNA Chase 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
7 MILLER Bryton 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
8 ZHU Qihao 100% 99% 85% 48% 10% -
9 VILLA ROA Luis 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
10 ZMEILI Talia 100% 82% 40% 9% 1% -
11 FOLIO Isabella 100% 100% 96% 67% 23% 2%
12 QIAN Runhao 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
13 PIZOR Luke 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
14 FOREMAN Ruth 100% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
15 WAHL Kai 100% 92% 46% 9% - -
16 VINS Katherine 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
17 KOCSIS Cherry 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3%
18 BACCA James 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.