Rain City Fall RJCC+Div II ROC

Cadet Men's Épée

Friday, October 10, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LU Jacob 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
2 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
3 LI Timothy 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
3 WANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
5 LEWIS Michael 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
6 DZIO Ethan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
7 LEE Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 3%
8 JONES Colby 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
9 GOWDA Suyog 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
10 RAMIREZ Hunter 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
11 BACON Corban 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% -
12 MONTGOMERY Elliot 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
13 GE Ray 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
15 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 99% 89% 58% 23% 5% -
16 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
17 MYRAH Devin 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
18 WANG Juehan 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
19 BREILING Sebastian 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
20 CHAN Joseph 100% 69% 24% 4% - - -
21 CHEN Christopher 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
22 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
23 LU Ian 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
24 RAMIREZ Tristan 100% 79% 35% 8% 1% - -
25 CALKINS Logan 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1%
26 DESMOND-CIESLOWSKI Oscar Desmond 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% -
27 CASONI Calder 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.