13th Annual Little Musketeers RYC & RJC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Friday, October 10, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Jump Beyond Sports - Torrance, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
2 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
3 LI Stephen 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
3 LI Vance 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
5 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
6 LIU Yihong 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
7 YUN Mason 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
8 TIAN Dylan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
9 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 80% 47% 13%
10 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
11 PARK Sean 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
12 REN Mark 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 7%
13 YOON Ian 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
14 LIU Aiden 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 18% 3%
15 TENG Eric 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
16 SHIH Derek 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3%
17 YI Alexander 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
18 CHU Clayton 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
19 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
20 HONG Eason 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
21 LO Stefan 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
22 LI Connor 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
23 GUO Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
23 FONG Ethan 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
25 ELARDO Griffin 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% 1%
26 LI Ethan 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
27 LI John 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
28 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
29 HAN Alex 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
30 LAU Jesse 100% 65% 22% 3% - -
31 AKKARA Skyler 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
32 DUCOURNAU Enzo 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
33 LEE Connor 100% 93% 64% 27% 5% - -
34 LU Mark 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
35 LIU Victor 100% 86% 46% 12% 1% -
36 KOU Logan 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
37 YANG Mikey 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
38 IGISSINOV Nurali 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 4%
39 SHI Ethan 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
40 HAO hardy 100% 63% 22% 4% 1% - -
41 LI nathan zeting 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
42 WANG Alexander 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
43 YANG Rony 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
44 KONG Dean 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
45 DEL ROSARIO Travis 100% 100% 79% 35% 8% 1%
46 BALDWIN Liam 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 4% -
47 JI Dylan 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.