FAD C & Under Tournament (E, F, S)

Div II Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Fencing Academy of Denver - Littleton, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 VALENCIA Anthony 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
2 SUN Neo 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
3 ZHANG Tianyi 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 5%
3 SUN Evan 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 12%
5 LIU Xiang 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
6 LEWIS-RAMIREZ Ben 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
7 COLLINS Payton 100% 99% 86% 44% 10% 1%
8 SPATZ Kenneth 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 11%
9 MESSENGER Niko 100% 94% 63% 22% 3% -
10 SPATZ Selene 100% 99% 89% 61% 22% 1%
11 DALY Gavin 100% 95% 72% 33% 6% -
12 VIGIL Liliana 100% 95% 57% 18% 3% -
13 MANDRIOLI Max 100% 79% 17% 1% - -
13 LEWIS-RAMIREZ Lily 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
15 GOODMAN Olive 100% 99% 91% 60% 21% 3%
16 DUNFORD William 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
17 KIM Aiden 100% 96% 74% 35% 7% -
18 SHIPMAN Danika 100% 81% 42% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.