NEUSFA U20 and U17 JO Qualifiers

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ZHAO Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
2 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 BUCOURT Vincent 100% 99% 71% 26% 3%
3 AYYAGARI Abhiram 100% 99% 90% 58% 17% 1%
5 SENANI Arjun 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
6 KALISH James 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 3%
7 KERSHA Alexander 100% 93% 65% 26% 4% -
8 CHUN Zachary 100% 99% 84% 43% 7%
9 DEROSA Patrick 100% 99% 68% 21% 2%
10 QIAN Zekai 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 8%
11 REN Ryan 100% 99% 84% 41% 6%
12 LAO Kevin 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
13 MATHESON Iver 100% 100% 95% 68% 19%
14 CHUN Alexander 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% -
15 WANG Luke 100% 99% 94% 70% 29% 3%
16 MASON Frederick 100% 92% 48% 11% 1%
17 CASH Zachary 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
18 MACCIOLI Daniel 100% 35% 5% - -
19 HASSETT Edward 100% 86% 48% 12% 1% -
20 WONG Maxwell 100% 74% 29% 5% - -
21 HIMELFARB Charlie 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
22 BAI Miles 100% 18% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.