Ataba Fencing Club October Challenge

Div II Mixed Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 10:00 AM

Ataba Fencing Club - Hartland, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SADLER August 100% 100% 95% 69% 24% 3% -
2 SCHERG Caleb 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 19%
3 KIRSCHNER Corey 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
3 ZEPEDA Andres 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
5 BERTRAND Reece 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 9% -
6 HENSEL Kaeleb 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
7 KANE Alexa 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
8 BURKHARDT Krista L. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
9 RITTERBUSCH Abigail 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% -
10 ST. GEORGE David J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
11 MACGREGOR Grant 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 12%
12 SADLER Donovan 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
13 SKILLINGS Byron 100% 97% 67% 26% 5% - -
14 KARLSON Taylor 100% 89% 51% 14% 2% -
15 BAIER Jameson 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
16 CHEEVER Katie 100% 77% 30% 6% 1% - -
17 AMICH Steve J. 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
17 BOEMBEKE Maxwell 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% - -
19 SADLER Denise 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
20 ALLER Bruce 100% 96% 70% 30% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.