Women's Epee Champagne Challenge

Senior Women's Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 4:00 PM

DC Fencers Club - Silver Spring, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 FOELLMER Kristin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 64%
2 MURPHY Katherine 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
3 ASHER Valerie 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
3 GORDON Hannah 100% 93% 58% 20% 3% < 1% -
5 WALKER Tallin S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 24%
6 BERGAN Bailey 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
7 ASHFORD Marguerite 100% 100% 98% 85% 43% 7% -
8 GIFFORD Sally 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
9 YAO Chloe 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
10 JEANDHEUR Carole A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 52% 6%
11 BRASTED Karen (Maggie) E. 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 5% -
12 SAMPAIO Beatriz 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3% -
13 DROLET Julia 100% 78% 34% 7% - - -
14 PENHOET Evelyn 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 8%
15 KIM Kaylin 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
16 ENGEL Katie 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
17 WOOLF Fredrika 100% 100% 92% 64% 25% 4% -
18 WARREN Jordan 100% 100% 96% 76% 33% 3% -
19 CHI Evelyn 100% 80% 37% 7% - - -
20 IYENGAR Sthuthi 100% 88% 49% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.