Rain City Fall RJCC+Div II ROC

Div II Men's Saber

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
2 LIAO Yifong 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 5%
3 ZHANG Lucas 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 4% -
3 COPPA Neal 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
5 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
6 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
7 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
8 LOPER Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
9 GUVEN Derin 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
10 VACCA Giovanni 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
11 RASHELL Simon 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
12 MCCLURE Logan 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 20% 3%
13 BECK Mica 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
14 WU Garrick 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
15 MILLER Charlie 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 2%
16 HOLMES Xavier 100% 89% 59% 26% 7% 1% -
17 VALENTINE Rhys 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
18 NA Yuchan Zachary 100% 96% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
19 NEARMAN Christopher 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 19% 3%
20 LEE River L 100% 98% 87% 62% 30% 8% 1%
21 TING Alexander 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.