Rain City Fall RJCC+Div II ROC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64%
2 WANG Aaron 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
3 SHI William 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
3 PALACIOS Francisco 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
5 LEE Daniel 100% 97% 67% 20% 1%
6 OLSON Kevin 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
7 WAI Andreas 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 9%
8 ST CLAIR Soren 100% 96% 74% 33% 6%
9 BACON Corban 100% 88% 50% 15% 2%
10 GOWDA Suyog 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
10 RAMIREZ Hunter 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
12 WANG Juehan 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
13 MYRAH Devin 100% 99% 88% 60% 23% 3%
14 REED David 100% 99% 88% 46% 4%
15 TOYOFUKU Lucas 100% 90% 54% 16% 2% -
16 WINSLOW Chris D. 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 17%
17 RAMIREZ Tristan 100% 46% 9% 1% < 1% -
18 BREILING Sebastian 100% 92% 57% 19% 3% -
19 ST.CLAIRE-KING Tenzin 100% 100% 95% 71% 26% 3%
20 BIROAN Chaz 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 4%
22 CASONI Calder 100% 26% 2% - -
23 VAVURIS Nicolas G. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
24 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 77% 33% 6% - -
25 BRACCO Cameron 100% 98% 79% 36% 7% -
26 MEHROTRA Dhruv 100% 65% 22% 4% -
27 JOHNSON Kingsley 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
28 CLIFTON Ian 100% 79% 35% 7% - -
30 DAN Chuntao 100% 96% 60% 16% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.