The Southern Y8/RYC/RJCC/RPC/ROC (VET/D1A/DV2)/TEAM

Div I-A Women's Épée

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 8:00 AM

John T. Rhodes Sport Center - Myrtle Beach, SC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MARX Leslie M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98%
2 PILSON Rebecca 100% 100% 99% 87% 47% 1%
3 BARDIN Kira 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
3 HILBY Olivia 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
5 BURT Emmalyne Grace 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
6 MARISI Gianna 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
7 COMBS Hannah 100% 86% 46% 11% 1% -
8 KWON Claire 100% 88% 54% 18% 2% -
9 LOZIER Grace 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 14%
10 SHIN Jamie 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% -
11 PROKOP Jeannine A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
12 CHEN Ava 100% 99% 87% 52% 11% -
13 NOLAN Sophia 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
14 MORET Brighid E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
15 YOON Elsa 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
16 BRUNELLI Alessandra 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
17 AVALOS Sofia 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
18 HOUSMANS Emma 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% -
19 GOCHBERG Madeline 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
20 LIU Bianca 100% 94% 65% 23% 3% -
21 JULIEN Erica 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
22 HUGHES Patricia A. 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 9%
23 SUNMAN Rory 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
24 PASCHEL Christie 100% 65% 21% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.