NEUSFA U20 and U17 JO Qualifiers

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHUN Zachary 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
2 ZHAO Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 46%
3 XU Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
3 WANG Luke 100% 93% 56% 17% 2% -
5 HOU Gaven 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
6 GATES Combustion 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17%
7 FORTES PINA Adrian 100% 100% 96% 71% 26% 3%
8 TIBBETTS Justin 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 6%
9 MAGAZU Christopher 100% 100% 95% 71% 27% 4%
10 SENANI Arjun 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
11 RIPA Joseph K. 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
12 QIAN Zekai 100% 98% 78% 37% 9% 1%
13 AYYAGARI Abhiram 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% 1%
14 DEROSA Patrick 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
15 ZHAO Brian 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
16 CHOI Caleb 100% 91% 56% 18% 3% -
17 REN Ryan 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% -
18 LAO Kevin 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
19 COHEN Maxwell 100% 55% 12% 1% - -
20 MORISON Hugo 100% 99% 88% 50% 13% 1%
21 CHUN Alexander 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
22 CASH Zachary 100% 89% 52% 15% 2% -
23 BELL Guillaume 100% 40% 7% - - -
24 KERSHA Alexander 100% 70% 27% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.