The Spooky Badger

Mixed Saber

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Bakke Recreation & Wellbeing Center - Madison, WI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YOUSSEF David 100% 100% 99% 83% 42% 8%
2 WALI Kaden 100% 100% 99% 85% 34% 4%
3 TIMMINS Daniel R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 70%
3 RUBIN Noah 100% 99% 83% 44% 10%
5 CORDIE David R. 100% 100% 99% 88% 51% 12%
6 POWELL Troy 100% 98% 74% 24% 3%
7 DEGA Tristan 100% 96% 71% 27% 4% -
8 KAM Emily 100% 90% 54% 14% 1% -
9 ROBINSON Matthew 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
10 KAO Tzu-Ting 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
11 SHUKLA Anusha 100% 78% 35% 8% 1%
12 PAPP Mike 100% 92% 54% 12% 1%
13 STOFIEL Noah 100% 100% 95% 72% 29%
14 MISIOURA Mark 100% 29% 3% - -
15 LUO Ruizhe 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
16 DUCKWITZ Brian R. 100% 98% 78% 18% -
17 ROONEY Dawson 100% 98% 81% 33% 4%
18 HENSEL Kaeleb 100% 90% 54% 15% 1% -
19 EDWARDS Evan 100% 94% 66% 25% 3%
20 MOHR Bruce 100% 64% 20% 3% - -
21 PENCE Samuel 100% 99% 90% 60% 18% -
22 STROBEL Abigail 100% 62% 18% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.