Saratoga Open Youth Foil Tournament

Y-10 Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Saratoga Fencing Club - Saratoga, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
2 DONG YIKUN 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
3 HO Kasper 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 8%
3 CREMEL Louis 100% 93% 70% 37% 13% 2% -
5 TAGNE Zoey 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
6 YUAN Vincent 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
7 DING Athena 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
8 SINGH Aditi 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1%
9 LI Mason 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
10 CHANG George 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
11 SUN Leia 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
12 SHEN Rebecca 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
13 XU Evan 100% 91% 63% 28% 8% 1% -
14 HE Andrew 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 2%
15 WANG Connor 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
16 FUNG Andrew 100% 33% 5% - - -
17 HOU Alice 100% 96% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
18 MALPICA Tao 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 2% -
19 DONG Ena 100% 96% 64% 23% 4% -
20 CHEN Bennett 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.