TMFC Youth Saber Cup (Manhattan) #1

E & Under Mixed Saber

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 6:30 PM

Tim Morehouse Fencing Club - Manhattan - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAI Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
2 QIN Lucas 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
3 SIMEONIDIS Aris 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 10%
3 WILLIAMSON Beckett 100% 99% 90% 47% 11% 1%
5 FAUSTO Aidan 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
6 CHIANG Ethan 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 2%
7 LEON Malolae 100% 98% 66% 24% 4% -
8 NGUYEN Luca 100% 99% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
9 MENON Othenan 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
10 WANG Keira 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
11 KOHLI Sara 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
12 UPBIN Olivia 100% 85% 46% 12% 1% -
13 PENSO Seraphine 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.