Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge

Div I-A Men's Foil

Sunday, April 28, 2019 at 12:30 PM

Rocky Point, NY - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WOODS Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
2 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
3 PALAZZOLO William J. 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
5 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 29%
6 GEE Brandon 100% 100% 96% 79% 49% 18% 3%
7 BAE Anthony 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 22%
8 HOLMES Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
9 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
10 LIU Patrick 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 14%
11 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
12 YANG Adam 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
13 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
14 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
15 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
16 ADLER David R. 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
17 FIELD Miles 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
18 BLUTT Emerson B. 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
19 BATRAK Alexander 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 7% 1%
20 MA Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
21 DIVENTI Paul W. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
23 YU Vinni 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 17% 2%
24 GILBERT-GOLDSTEIN Avery E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 4%
25 WU Alexander 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 9% 1%
26 LIU Eric P. 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
27 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
28 LIU Kevin B. 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2%
29 DING Jonathan 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
30 WAN Jason 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
31 HO Ryan J. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
32 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 99% 95% 79% 50% 19% 3%
33 PETER Griffin 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
34 WU Albert 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
35 HEALY Griffen 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1%
36 BALL James T. 100% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
37 SACCOCCIO Nicholas P. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
38 HU Oliver W. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
39 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
40 FU Samuel Y. 100% 97% 82% 53% 22% 5% 1%
41 ORTIZ Zachary M. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
42 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 99% 89% 61% 28% 7% 1%
43 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
44 BROOKES Scott L. 100% 96% 80% 50% 21% 5% 1%
45 SCHULTES Evans 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
46 NAGER Noah 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 5% -
47 CRALEY Thomas M. 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
48 HEMPE Jake 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 5%
49 TUMMINGS C.J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
50 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
51 IVARSSON Oliver 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
52 XIAO Anthony 100% 87% 51% 18% 4% - -
53 ANCONA Christopher 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
53 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
55 XIE Javah 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
56 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
57 BRANDT-OGMAN Adlai 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
57 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
59 LIAO Alex J. 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
60 LEE Daniel C. 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
61 HEWES Thomas G. 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
62 HU Robin 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
63 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 97% 79% 43% 14% 2% -
64 JOSEPH Willem 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
65 LE Vyn A. 100% 66% 22% 3% - - -
66 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
67 SELENDY Maximilian (Max) A. 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
68 ANDREWS Nathan J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
69 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 96% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
70 CORTIZAS John (Jack) 100% 87% 51% 18% 4% - -
71 ZHAO Jesse 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
72 SANTULLI Tristan 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
73 GALLER Dave 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
74 HEALY Tyler 100% 66% 24% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.