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For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Jeff Wolfe Long Island Challenge

Div II Women's Saber

Sunday, April 28, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Rocky Point, NY - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CAPPELLO Lauren - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
2 KALINICHENKO Alexandra (Sasha) - < 1% 6% 27% 45% 22%
3 MATAIEV Natalie S. 1% 9% 33% 42% 16%
3 LU Yi Lin 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
5 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika - 1% 7% 28% 42% 21%
6 JIN Olivia P. - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
7 DEPEW Charlotte R. - 6% 31% 40% 20% 3%
8 NIELSEN Dianna M. - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
9 LOCKETT Audrey 1% 8% 29% 41% 20% 3%
10 RHIE Lena - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
11 RAFFEL Talia M. 5% 26% 40% 24% 5% -
12 CHEN Chloe Y. 2% 14% 37% 36% 11%
13 MEDVEDEVA Alexandra 17% 53% 26% 5% - -
14 MORGAN Elizabeth (Ella) R. - 5% 26% 43% 22% 3%
15 WHEELER Kira 3% 21% 42% 27% 7% 1%
17 RODGERS Sally E. 4% 32% 42% 19% 3% -
18 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4%
19 SOARES Lily 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
20 MAYS Hailey 22% 44% 27% 6% 1%
21 LETTIERI Sophia - 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
22 NEIBART Fiona - 9% 34% 44% 12% 1%
23 LIGH Karis 8% 37% 39% 15% 2% -
24 HAN Lauren 3% 19% 37% 29% 11% 1%
26 VELASQUEZ Veronica 54% 36% 9% 1% - -
27 ENGORAN Emily 59% 34% 6% - - -
28 KUSTERA Ally 59% 35% 6% - - -
29 PARADA Sophia 54% 36% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.