NYFA Youth Cup #1

Y-12 Mixed Épée

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 12:30 PM

NYFA Brooklyn - Brooklyn, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
2 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 19%
3 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
3 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 20%
5 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
6 SIU Mila 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
7 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
8 KO Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45% 9%
9 TANG Jayce 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
10 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
11 VILLER Gabriella 100% 59% 17% 2% - -
12 CHEN Regis 100% 100% 99% 82% 41% 8%
13 YANG Julian 100% 98% 79% 37% 8% 1%
13 PENG Leo 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
15 BERENSHTEYN Gabriella 100% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
16 GURTIN Aleksandra 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
17 NEMAT Kamila 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% - -
18 HWANG Chase 100% 70% 26% 5% - -
18 CHERNYAK Abigail 100% 82% 28% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.