Fall Foil Festival

Senior Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 12, 2025 at 9:00 AM

YEL Fencing Club - Hopkins, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 RUBY Asher 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
2 SINHA Verdhaan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
3 FOSTERVOLD Castiel 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
3 TOEWS Jackson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
5 FEEHAN Conor 100% 98% 86% 53% 17% 2% -
6 LINEBERRY Caden 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
7 STELLPFLUG Zachary 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
8 DIFRANK Tae 100% 100% 100% 95% 69% 25% 2%
9 KANG Marian 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
10 SCHROEDER Karl 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 33% 3%
11 FERRARA Asher 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1%
12 HOLSTROM Cole 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 10% -
13 CRONK Trevor 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1%
14 BEDARD Bennett 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% -
15 DAVIS Jace 100% 94% 66% 23% 3% - -
16 PETERSON Quinn 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
17 CAGLE Tommy 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 8%
18 BODNER Nicholas 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
19 CAMPBELL Sean 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 8%
20 HICKNER Gabe 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
21 CRUZ Cole 100% 78% 31% 5% - - -
22 WINTERS Linus 100% 65% 21% 3% - - -
23 BALDERES Gavin 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
24 NEAS Derek 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
25 MARTZ Michael 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
26 NELSON Kristofer 100% 86% 44% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.