Duel of the East Coast ROC/RJCC/RYC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Monday, October 13, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Greater Philadelphia Expo Center - Hall C - Oaks, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 YOUNG Sienna 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
2 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
3 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
5 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
6 WILLER Anna 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
7 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
8 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
9 BREWSTER Ayaki 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
9 LIM Isabella 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
11 SON Ellie 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
12 MARGULIS Roxana 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
12 CHANG Grace 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
14 LEE Jiyoung 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
15 JUNG Elise 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
16 AN Jamie 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
17 JUILLERAT Tabea 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
18 CHEN Chloe 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
19 SAGER Bianca 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
20 CAO Audrey 100% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
21 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
22 FAZAL Sasha 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
23 PIENKOWSKI Olivia 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1%
24 LIM Charlotte 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
25 AN Jasmine 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
26 LASS Genevieve 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
26 LIAO Audrey 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
28 LIAO Amber 100% 85% 48% 16% 2% -
29 RAGAVENDRAN Hasini 100% 54% 15% 2% - -
30 OTAZU Clara 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.