SAS Epee E & Under

E & Under Mixed Épée

Friday, October 17, 2025 at 7:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	BACON Corban	-	4%	18%	38%	32%	9%
2	RAMIREZ Tristan	7%	36%	40%	15%	2%	< 1%
3	SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram	-	3%	36%	46%	14%	< 1%
3	BRACCO Cameron	1%	7%	24%	39%	25%	4%
5	DAN Chuntao	3%	16%	31%	30%	15%	4%	< 1%
6	WANG Juehan	-	8%	36%	41%	13%	1%
7	HARRISKING Benjamin	-	1%	9%	29%	40%	20%
8	BERKE Daniel (Dan) L.	-	-	4%	23%	45%	28%
9	SPERANZA John	-	2%	11%	28%	34%	20%	4%
10	ISLAM Asif	-	1%	7%	22%	35%	27%	8%
11	LOHNES Shane	-	1%	5%	18%	33%	31%	12%
12	REED Juliya	3%	21%	42%	27%	6%	-	-
13	KANIA Robert	-	3%	15%	35%	35%	12%
14	FARRER Cheryl	-	5%	23%	40%	26%	6%	-
15	CRETEN joachim	1%	9%	28%	35%	21%	6%	1%
16	SRIVASTAVA amitabh	1%	30%	48%	18%	3%	-
17	CHAHOUD Zouhir	-	4%	20%	37%	30%	9%
18	ZHAO Michael	-	5%	18%	33%	30%	12%	2%
19	HOSTER Peter	-	-	5%	23%	40%	26%	5%
20	TUCKER Austin	-	2%	13%	38%	37%	11%
21	SRIVASTAVA Aria	20%	39%	29%	10%	2%	-	-
22	SILKEY Jason	-	-	2%	9%	26%	39%	24%
23	RAMIREZ Shawn	-	-	1%	12%	39%	48%
24	WERNER Andrew	28%	43%	23%	5%	1%	-
25	HUFF Ava	49%	40%	10%	1%	-	-
26	CHANG Nicholas	7%	25%	35%	23%	8%	1%	-
27	WEISKOPF Rory	6%	28%	38%	21%	5%	-
28	FALEY Alexis	32%	46%	19%	3%	-	-
29	VISHWANATHAN Sophia	1%	18%	39%	30%	10%	2%	-
30	OLSON McGee	5%	28%	42%	21%	4%	-
30	ORBAN Viktoria	4%	52%	35%	8%	1%	-
32	SAXMAN Yuna	13%	35%	33%	15%	3%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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