Friday Night Fight

Div III Mixed Foil

Friday, October 17, 2025 at 7:00 PM

Fencing Academy of Westchester - HAWTHORNE, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 ALLEN DJ 100% 100% 94% 66% 19%
2 HOLMES Alexiy 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
3 MURPHY Damian J. 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
3 NICUDEMUS Bryella 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
5 LIU Caydence 100% 100% 97% 80% 32%
6 LIN Justin 100% 87% 48% 13% 1%
7 LEVIN Jack 100% 98% 83% 43% 7%
8 FLANAGAN Sarah 100% 97% 72% 28% 3%
9 MIN Xihuai 100% 78% 32% 6% -
10 RUNDLE Theron 100% 96% 64% 15% 1%
11 SICHEL-OUTCALT Margaret 100% 78% 36% 8% 1%
12 BEYERS Dillion 100% 72% 26% 4% -
13 WOLF Fiona 100% 89% 49% 13% 1%
14 COPP Felix 100% 66% 20% 2% -
15 GEREN Marcus 100% 98% 77% 27% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.