Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Friday, October 17, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
2 YOU Asher 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
3 PUTHOFF Henry 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
3 TANG Luke 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
5 LEE Leo 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
6 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
7 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
8 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
9 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
10 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
11 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4%
12 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
13 LAI Jayden 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
14 LI Jayden 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3%
15 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
16 WANG carson 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
17 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 20%
18 TANG Jayce 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
19 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
20 KIM Siwoo 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
20 WANG Henry 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
22 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
23 MA Joseph 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
24 LEE Taeryum 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
25 KO Ethan 100% 97% 81% 47% 14% 2%
26 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
27 LAI Jaxon 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
28 DAI Jason 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 9% 1%
29 CAREY John 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 4%
30 BUTLER Xavier 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 11% 2%
31 YOU Emmanuel 100% 93% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
32 JIN Noah 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
33 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
34 LIU FREDERICK 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
35 YOON Jonathan 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
36 ZHAO Brandon 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
37 WANG William 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 2% -
38 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
39 YAN Milan 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
40 ZHANG Jacob 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1% -
41 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
42 ECCLESTONE Liam 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
43 IVANOV Andrew 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
44 NG Remy 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 1%
45 CHEN Regis 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 3%
46 LI Sean 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4%
47 LIU Jayden 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
48 YANTZ Rhys 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1%
49 KIM Ian 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
50 JIN Jacob 100% 99% 88% 53% 19% 3% -
51 QU ethan 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% - -
52 YIN Xiangheng 100% 85% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
53 SCOGGIN Charles 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% - -
54 YAO Irvine 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% -
55 TUTELMAN Shon 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
56 YADAV Aarav 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
57 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
58 CHEN Caleb 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
59 LUO Sebastian 100% 95% 75% 42% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.