Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Friday, October 17, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOZLOV Lucas - - - 3% 15% 40% 43%
2 YI Andrew - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
3 MIAO Heqi - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
3 LAU Kyrus - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
5 LIANG Morgan - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
6 DAI Zihou - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
7 MATTOO Dhruv 1% 11% 34% 38% 14% 1%
8 SHAPIRO Leo - 2% 14% 35% 37% 12%
9 SUH Leo - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
10 SONG Aidan - 5% 24% 42% 27% 3%
11 SO Morgan 1% 11% 32% 36% 17% 3%
13 WONG Reagan - 4% 18% 38% 31% 9%
14 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - - 1% 9% 28% 42% 19%
15 ZHANG Weihang 2% 17% 35% 31% 13% 3% -
16 BEAL Colton - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
17 NGO Emerson - 1% 8% 30% 46% 15%
18 PERRIN Leo - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
19 HENDERSON Louis - 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 9%
20 TASIKAS Peter - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
21 LEVY Daniel - 3% 16% 37% 34% 10%
21 KOREN George - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
21 SHANKAR Rahm 1% 11% 29% 34% 20% 5% 1%
24 WANG ARAN - 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
25 AVERY Marcus - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
26 HAHN EVER 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
27 TAYCHER Aaron 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
28 CHEN Felix - 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
29 BRADY Jack 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1%
30 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
31 HUA George (Hanxun) 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 9% 1%
32 ZHANG Eric 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% -
33 KONDOGI Saivarun 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
34 LE CORVEC Thomas - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
35 YU Justin - 5% 22% 41% 28% 4%
36 KUANG Cyrus 3% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
37 YANG LOUIS - 7% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1%
37 KOREN David 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
39 LU Simon 3% 14% 30% 31% 17% 4% -
40 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
41 CHEN Leo 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
42 LI Kent 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
43 LIU Tyler,yiwei - 5% 18% 34% 32% 11%
44 ARCHIBALD Zachary - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
45 LI Lucas 19% 43% 30% 7% 1% -
46 HE Nolan 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
47 ATA Kevin 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
48 ZHANG Caleb 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
49 GUERRA Corey 5% 24% 40% 25% 7% 1%
50 ALUF Brendon 1% 10% 29% 38% 20% 3%
51 VIDREVICH David 1% 9% 29% 37% 21% 4%
52 MOTOV Max 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
53 PARK Layne 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
54 SUN Leonard 11% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
55 WU Vincent - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
56 LENDVAI Lorand - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
57 RISMAN Edward 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
58 YE Ian 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
59 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1%
60 APOSTOLERIS Leander 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 2%
61 LEE Shane Gunn 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
62 CHEN Mark 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
64 QIN Lucas - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
65 MAKLIN David 13% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
66 REINHART Rowan 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
67 LEE Aiden 2% 16% 37% 34% 10% 1%
68 CORDERO Adam 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 5%
69 AWAD Omar 3% 23% 38% 26% 8% 1%
70 GAW Christian 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
71 CHEN Brian 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
72 GAW Zachary 29% 43% 22% 5% - -
73 LAN Jasper 5% 21% 32% 27% 12% 3% -
74 LIU Jeremy - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
75 PARK Sean 2% 18% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
76 GAYTAN Antonio 55% 35% 9% 1% - - -
77 POULSEN Emmitt - 3% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1%
78 STYS Owen 18% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
79 LI kevin 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
79 HUANG Lucas 59% 33% 7% 1% - -
81 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 62% 31% 6% 1% - - -
82 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 35% 43% 19% 4% - -
83 HUANG KIMBALL 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
83 YANG Ted 2% 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
85 CADET Sebastian 2% 22% 50% 23% 3% -
86 TRAGGIS-LOUGHMAN Isaac 1% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.