Fall Frolic 2025

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Augusta Fencers Club - Augusta, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LAUSI Patrick M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
2 MAXWELL CJ F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 61% 18%
3 VILLANI Henry M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
3 OH Seonghun 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
5 LEBEDOVYCH Tristin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 11%
6 SHEHORN Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
7 MONAGHAN Claire (Micah) 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20% 3%
8 MILLER Jonah 100% 100% 98% 76% 33% 6% -
9 RILEY Owen 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10% 1%
10 BOBER Alexander 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 6% -
11 LEE Katelyn 100% 90% 47% 11% 1% - -
12 FIGUEROA Ramon E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 51% 13%
13 WANG Thea 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
14 ALLEN Charles 100% 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1%
15 CARDINAL Elise 100% 80% 31% 5% - - -
16 MCBRIDE Cynthia 100% 92% 59% 17% 2% - -
17 DOZIER William J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10% -
18 RIDLEY Mary Emma 100% 89% 52% 15% 1% - -
19 ANDUJAR Gerardo 100% 57% 14% 1% - - -
20 CHIKHLIKER Mary Ellis 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
21 TRIVEDI Shivani 100% 70% 24% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.