Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 35%
2 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
3 KOREN George 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 20%
3 HAHN EVER 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
5 KUANG Cyrus 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
6 CHEN Leo 100% 97% 75% 33% 5%
7 GILBERT Ari 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
8 ZHANG Weihang 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
9 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
10 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
11 HUA George (Hanxun) 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
12 IP Hunter 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
13 LEE Shane Gunn 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 2%
14 LI Lucas 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
15 SCHWARTZMAN Jakub 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
16 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
17 LEVY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
19 STYS Owen 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
20 TAK Kion 100% 98% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
21 RISMAN Edward 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
22 CHEN Brian 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
23 LU Simon 100% 98% 83% 52% 19% 3%
24 ZHANG Caleb 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
25 SUN Leonard 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
26 PETROSYAN Aleksander 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
27 MOTOV Max 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
28 HU Simon 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
29 ALUF William 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
30 SABINO Bennett 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
31 SUH Jordan 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
32 MAKLIN David 100% 84% 42% 10% 1%
33 LIU Jeremy 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
34 LU Hanwen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
35 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 98% 84% 45% 9%
36 LEE Aiden 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
37 PARK Sean 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
39 YE Ian 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
40 TIAGI Ronald 100% 99% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
41 LIU Caleb 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% -
42 MAUREL Louis 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
43 HUANG KIMBALL 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
44 LI Anton 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
45 ATA Kevin 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6% -
46 WONG Jacob 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
47 LAN Jasper 100% 98% 88% 59% 24% 4% -
48 PARK Layne 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
49 TAK Sion 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
50 LI Jaylen William 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 11%
51 HUANG Lucas 100% 55% 16% 2% - -
52 FERNAINE Thomas 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
53 ROSENBLATT Ezra 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
54 LI Nathan 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
55 LI Derek 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
55 WU Dylan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
57 LI kevin 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
58 FUNG Emerson 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
59 SOBOLEWSKI Isaac 100% 73% 31% 8% 1% - -
60 ROBLES Rafael 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
61 KATZ Isaac 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
62 CHATTAWAY Nicholas 100% 65% 25% 5% 1% - -
63 THOMAS Tre 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4%
64 KWON Joon 100% 63% 20% 3% -
65 GUO Aiden 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
66 THEETHIRA Kevin-Cariappa 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.