Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 3:00 PM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Max 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
2 WU Timothy 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
3 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
3 YU xiaodao 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42%
5 LIU Andrew 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
6 WONG Reagan 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
7 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 4%
8 SO Morgan 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1%
9 LE CORVEC Thomas 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 38% 10%
10 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
11 WANG Zixin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
12 SUH Leo 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
13 WANG Shawn 100% 97% 78% 42% 14% 2% -
14 GORDON Samuel 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
15 SONG Aidan 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
16 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
17 TASIKAS Peter 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% -
18 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
19 WONG Mac 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
20 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
21 LEE Damian 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
22 SAYAR Luke 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 4%
23 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
25 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
26 WANG Theodore 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
27 CRAWFORD William 100% 99% 91% 68% 37% 12% 2%
28 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 94% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
29 PERRIN Leo 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
30 LEVIN Jacob 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
31 NGO Emerson 100% 99% 91% 69% 37% 12% 2%
32 SHANKAR Rahm 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
33 LI Kent 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
34 HU Harry Jiming 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
35 MATTINGLY Ian 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
36 COGLIANO Max 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
37 WU Vincent 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
38 LAU Kyrus 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
39 KONDOGI Saivarun 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
40 SOMANI Aarav 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
41 HEIMOV Brennan 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.