2025 Longhorn Open

Mixed Foil (Day 2)

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 12:00 PM

The UT-Austin Student Rec Center - AUSTIN, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WONG Kai Yui 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 6%
2 QUINONES Diego A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
3 SENISCH Isaac 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
3 WARMERDAM Joseph 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 2% -
5 WOODALL Ian L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 12%
6 ONG Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
7 ORDUNO Edgar 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1% -
8 AGUILAR JARAMILLO Alan 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
9 WILSON Bryan 100% 96% 64% 20% 3% < 1% -
10 CHEN Kevin 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
11 KASKAN Peter E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
12 WANG Borui 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
13 HALLYN Edward 100% 99% 91% 60% 19% 2%
14 LUONG Dillon 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 46% 7%
15 NGUYEN Bao 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
16 RONG Frank 100% 95% 66% 24% 3% -
17 BATTLE Persephone 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
18 GROTEWOLD Zachary 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% -
19 SMITH Matthew 100% 51% 12% 1% - - -
20 OLIVARES Jasmine 100% 81% 42% 12% 1% - -
21 RAJSKI Jerome 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% -
22 OVERCASH II James (Coot) C. 100% 97% 79% 36% 6% - -
23 SELVESTER Joshua 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
24 THOMPSON Joshua 100% 99% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
25 TRAN Catherine 100% 99% 61% 19% 3% -
26 MACHADO Nik 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
26 RODRIGUEZ Jadan 100% 99% 82% 37% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.