Portland Fall RYC

Y-14 Men's Foil

Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BEDWORTH Alistair 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
2 WEI-NAVARRO Augustus 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
3 BHUPATHIRAJU Arjun 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
3 LO Enzo 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
5 PESKIN Kepler 100% 99% 87% 50% 12%
6 HO Christopher 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
7 RYU GREYSON 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
8 CHANG Austin 100% 81% 35% 7% 1%
9 SAVAGE Angus 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
10 PAINTER Zachary 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
11 CHEUNG Iain 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
12 KUANG Vincent 100% 100% 92% 56% 13%
13 CHEN Kurtis 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
14 LI Alex 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
15 THOMAS Noah 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
16 ZHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 94% 61% 16%
17 LIN Alden 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 13% 1%
19 RYU Griffin 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% -
20 SUN Oliver 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
21 ZHANG Dennis 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
22 MARSH Wyatt 100% 64% 23% 5% - - -
23 LIGERET Leo 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
25 CHEN William (Max) 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
26 LI Jonathan 100% 70% 18% 2% -
27 LIN Conrad 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% -
28 MAK Ryder 100% 94% 62% 24% 5% - -
29 QIU Yiran 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
30 ZHANG Derek 100% 57% 14% 1% -
31 SERBAN Aaron 100% 54% 9% 1% -
32 VICKERY Cassius 100% 36% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.