Portland Fall RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 12:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ERPELDING Ryan 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
2 WOLLOW Bennett 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 3%
3 LUO Winston 3% 18% 36% 32% 10%
5 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
6 XIA Henson - 5% 23% 41% 28% 2%
7 PETTY Eliot - 4% 18% 38% 31% 9%
8 ZHEN Felix 18% 42% 32% 8% -
9 HADFIELD Gavin 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
10 LUTZ Benjamin - 5% 24% 40% 26% 5%
11 NGUYEN Asher 17% 41% 32% 9% 1% -
12 WANG William 19% 44% 30% 7% -
12 XIE Ryan 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2%
14 CHEN Brandon 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% -
15 KIM ZOLLER Jude - 2% 20% 51% 27%
16 YANG Jiehui < 1% 5% 23% 40% 26% 5%
17 BATTEN Miles 1% 21% 46% 29% 3%
18 LUO Nathan 13% 35% 35% 15% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.