Portland Fall RYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 1:00 PM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIGERET Stella 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
2 HAN Mia 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
3 SCHEFFLER Aria 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 10%
3 HONG ELSIE 100% 100% 100% 96% 71% 21%
5 JIANG Ziqing 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
6 KIM Ellen 100% 91% 60% 21% 3%
7 NAKAZATO Olivia 100% 84% 45% 12% 1%
8 WU Allison 100% 97% 77% 38% 7%
9 ZHANG Olivia 100% 100% 97% 81% 39% 7%
10 WU Elynna 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
11 CHOI Lydia 100% 100% 97% 76% 28% 3%
12 CHEN Elysia 100% 90% 56% 19% 3%
13 SMIRNOV Victoria 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
14 KIM Olivia 100% 70% 28% 5% -
15 YOUN Davina 100% 94% 63% 21% 3% -
16 LIU Anya 100% 99% 89% 57% 18%
17 JONES Rowan 100% 88% 48% 11% 1% -
18 JIANG Ziqi 100% 84% 40% 7% - -
19 LIU Sylvia 100% 87% 44% 10% 1% -
20 MORENO Josefina 100% 83% 44% 12% 1%
21 MERRIMAN Evalyn 100% 56% 14% 1% - -
22 PENG Yuewei 100% 68% 22% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.