MFA Y8, Y10, Y12, Div2 - All foil mixed events

Div II Mixed Foil

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 5:00 PM

Marin Fencing Academy - San Rafael, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 ARYA Leela 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 37% 8%
2 SAFTA Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
3 MIYOSHI Kylie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
3 IRELAND Moira 100% 99% 93% 73% 42% 15% 3% -
5 ANDERSON Gage 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
6 LI Sophia 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 10% 1%
7 TSAI Spencer 100% 99% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
8 BROWN-LEWIN Noah 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
9 WANG Ellen 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3% - -
10 HAGIWARA-MATIASEK Kazuma 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 8% 1% -
11 FISCHER Grant 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11% 1%
12 AFTAB ayaan 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2% -
13 FENG Sophia 100% 93% 64% 24% 4% - - -
14 HUEMMER Sophia 100% 64% 20% 3% - - - -
15 MA Alexandra 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 2% -
16 SCHAMP Eliot 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.