Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC - RJCC

Cadet Men's Saber

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 12:30 PM

Golisano Training Center at Nazareth University - Rochester, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Zixin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
2 WONG Mac 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
3 WU Timothy 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 YU xiaodao 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
5 LAU Kyrus 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 33% 8%
6 YI Andrew 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
7 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 37%
8 LIANG Morgan 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
9 WANG Theodore 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
10 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 34% 8%
11 LEVIN Jacob 100% 100% 95% 79% 49% 19% 3%
12 ZHANG Shaoxuan 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
13 CRAWFORD William 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 7%
14 HE Nolan 100% 87% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
15 KOREN David 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% -
16 WANG ARAN 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
17 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
19 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
19 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
21 GORDON Samuel 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 6%
22 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
23 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 99% 89% 65% 32% 9% 1%
24 LE CORVEC Thomas 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
25 SO Morgan 100% 100% 92% 60% 20% 2%
26 KUSHKOV Michael 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
27 WONG Reagan 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 17% 3%
28 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
29 TASIKAS Peter 100% 100% 96% 72% 31% 5%
30 SAYAR Luke 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
31 NGO Emerson 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
32 AWAD Omar 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% -
33 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
34 LEE Damian 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
35 COGLIANO Max 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
36 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
37 KUANG Cyrus 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
38 CHEN Felix 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% 1%
40 VIDREVICH David 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
41 YANG LOUIS 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
42 WANG Shawn 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 2%
43 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 26% 5%
44 AVERY Marcus 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
45 SOMANI Aarav 100% 55% 11% 1% - -
46 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 75% 26% 4% - -
47 SOCHNIKOV Jacob 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
48 KOREN George 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
49 SHANKAR Rahm 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
50 FILMORE Samuel 100% 70% 29% 7% 1% - -
51 PEACE Sam 100% 91% 53% 18% 3% - -
52 HEIMOV Brennan 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
53 LI Kent 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
54 KONDOGI Saivarun 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.