San Diego Cup - Youth Epee #1 (previously #2)

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 11:30 AM

LionHeart Fencing Academy - El Cajon, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ELARDO Griffin 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
2 PARK Sihoon 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
3 BUSH Andrew 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
3 YI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 3%
5 LI Connor 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% -
6 ZHANG Lucas 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% -
7 LIU Victor 100% 92% 61% 22% 3% -
8 LAU Jesse 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
9 MINASSIAN Alexander 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
10 BALDWIN Liam 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
11 SONDE Shayaan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10%
12 GLASS Zachary 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
13 NIU Langxi 100% 100% 100% 93% 64% 20%
14 KLEINBUB Alexander 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
15 LASCH Thomas 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
16 LI Ethan 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
17 XUE Jason 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
18 CASTRO Yarem 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
19 KLEVEN MCGANN Knox 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
20 LLANES Elias 100% 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.