The Fencing Center RYC

Y-14 Women's Foil

Saturday, September 14, 2019 at 1:00 PM

San Jose, CA - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SOOD Ishani S.	-	-	-	3%	16%	41%	40%
2	YHIP Mikaela M.	-	-	-	5%	22%	44%	29%
3	HO Rachel E.	-	2%	11%	30%	36%	18%	3%
3	KOROL Neta	-	1%	6%	25%	46%	23%
5	PANT Anisha	-	-	1%	10%	33%	40%	15%
6	FERNANDES Thea	-	-	1%	9%	28%	42%	20%
7	CUI Melody J.	-	4%	18%	35%	30%	11%	1%
8	DAVIS Bonnie Z.	-	-	1%	9%	28%	41%	21%
9	GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A.	-	-	-	2%	24%	74%
10	KOROL Dana	-	-	2%	11%	32%	39%	16%
11	LEE Bethanie	-	-	1%	10%	30%	40%	19%
12	SUN Ruoxi	-	-	1%	7%	25%	42%	24%
13	TOM Caitlyn	-	1%	6%	23%	38%	26%	6%
14	SHIH Diane	-	-	3%	18%	45%	34%
15	SHITAMOTO Audrey F.	-	1%	9%	27%	37%	21%	4%
16	TALWALKAR Apoorva	-	-	2%	11%	31%	39%	17%
17	WELBORN Calissa	1%	8%	28%	37%	21%	5%	-
18	SUN Chien-Yu	-	-	5%	24%	41%	25%	5%
19	HSIUNG Samantha	3%	17%	34%	31%	13%	2%	-
20	KIM Hyunchae Y.	-	3%	19%	44%	31%	3%
21	UMAP Arna	-	2%	18%	44%	32%	4%
21	GONG Chloe	6%	27%	39%	22%	5%	-
23	LEE Samantha X.	2%	14%	34%	36%	13%	2%
24	WANG Celine S.	2%	15%	35%	33%	13%	2%	-
25	BOLES Amanda X.	2%	11%	29%	34%	19%	5%	-
26	FUNG Emma	1%	14%	35%	33%	14%	3%	-
27	LUO Sandra J.	-	1%	13%	37%	34%	12%	2%
28	PISHARODI smriti	27%	52%	19%	2%	-	-
29	NAIR Supriya	1%	9%	28%	37%	20%	5%	-
30	UPENDER Cosette K.	-	8%	40%	37%	13%	2%	-
31	WANG Zoie Z.	-	1%	9%	28%	37%	21%	4%
32	THOMAS Saejel	38%	51%	10%	1%	-	-	-
33	OHALLORAN Zoe	5%	21%	34%	27%	11%	2%	-
34	MANN Sophia J.	2%	18%	46%	28%	5%	-
35	GREEN Perri L.	16%	39%	32%	11%	1%	-
36	SALAMATI Soraya A.	37%	44%	17%	2%	-	-
37	ANTEBI Sarah	21%	40%	28%	10%	2%	-	-
38	FUNG Vera	22%	48%	25%	5%	1%	-	-
39	ZHANG Eunice	-	3%	18%	36%	30%	11%	1%
40	TSANG Catherine	4%	29%	39%	22%	6%	1%	-
40	MU Allison	38%	42%	17%	3%	-	-	-
42	NICKOLOV Nora	40%	43%	14%	2%	-	-	-
43	CHIRASHNYA Mika	1%	10%	28%	35%	20%	5%	-
44	ZHENG Zoe	21%	42%	28%	8%	1%	-
45	CHOI Kailyn	44%	48%	8%	-	-	-	-
46	XU Audrey J.	12%	39%	34%	12%	2%	-	-
46	PATTERSON Natalia	63%	31%	5%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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