Portland Fall RYC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 STAMPER Wyatt 100% 93% 67% 31% 9% 1% -
2 GUVEN Derin 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 13% 1%
3 MITCHELL-LU Hiro 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 34% 7%
3 SMITH Etienne 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
5 HOLMES Xavier 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 35%
6 XIA Daniel 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 11%
7 ERPELDING Ryan 100% 97% 83% 54% 24% 6% 1%
8 LIEBISCH Milo 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
9 LEE Andrew 100% 99% 85% 44% 9% -
10 JOHNSON Jack 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 4% -
11 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 1%
12 SIT Jayden Ka-Hin 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 25%
13 TEE Benjamin 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
14 KELLEHER Liam 100% 95% 77% 46% 18% 4% -
15 PERNICK Rhen 100% 100% 95% 80% 51% 20% 4%
16 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 1%
17 LUO Winston 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 19% 3%
18 LAMADRID Zachary 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
20 KIM ZOLLER Jacob 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
21 CHEN Brandon 100% 84% 46% 15% 2% - -
22 XIA Henson 100% 100% 96% 81% 52% 22% 4%
23 MORRIS Gray 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3%
24 NELSON Logan 100% 77% 31% 6% 1% -
25 ZELEN Hayden 100% 100% 96% 69% 23% 3%
26 STEIPP Mathew 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
27 ZHEN Felix 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
28 HADFIELD Gavin 100% 74% 30% 6% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.