Portland Fall RYC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, October 19, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Northwest Fencing Center - Tigard, OR, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LO Enzo 100% 100% 99% 90% 68% 33% 7%
2 PESKIN Kepler 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
3 SUN Oliver 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
5 SAVAGE Angus 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
6 LIN Conrad 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
7 ZHANG Dennis 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 17% 3%
8 RYU Griffin 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12%
9 LIGERET Leo 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
10 LI Alistair 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 4%
11 ZHANG Derek 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
12 YU Ethan 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
13 RAMIREZ Nicanor 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
14 LI Jonathan 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
15 TOOMBS Bennett 100% 97% 80% 47% 18% 4% -
16 SU Jet 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1%
17 MCBRIDE Sam 100% 94% 69% 33% 10% 2% -
18 REILLY Boden 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3%
19 ONG Alexander 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
20 ZHANG Yuen 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
21 LIM Jun Rui 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.