Event Results
AAFA: Harry Rulnick Open (Sanctioned)Surprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | KARNAVAS William | D V V V V | V V | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 2 | DOVER Felix | V V V V V | V D | 2.0 | 5 | +3.0 |
| 3 | SPAHR Gregory G. | D D D V V | V D | 1.5 | 2 | +0.5 |
| 3 | MCLEAN Geoffrey W. | V V D D D | V D | 4.5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| 5 | MCRAE Steve | D D D V D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 6 | COHEN Peter | V D D D D | D | 3.1 | 1 | -2.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |