Thrust Fall RYC/RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 1:30 PM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Field House) - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HU Alicia 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
2 XU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
3 ZHENG Winona 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
3 ZHAO Selena 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
5 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 26%
6 LIU Chelsea 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
7 SUN Yi 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
8 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
9 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
10 PARK Gabriella 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 3%
11 KIM Grace 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 13%
12 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
13 CAFAGNA Sofia 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
14 LEE Grace 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
15 WEI Madison 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 23% 4%
16 ZHANG Audrey 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
17 WANG MONA 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
18 ZHANG Nikki 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 7% 1%
19 HILD Anya 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 11%
20 BANDHU Saahiti 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
21 DANIELS Jordanna 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
22 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 6% -
23 MUNSHI Ridhima 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
24 DATLA Aanya 100% 90% 60% 26% 7% 1% -
25 CANARAN Daphne M. 100% 98% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
26 WANG Chloe 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
27 VARAH Alaia 100% 100% 94% 67% 28% 5%
28 JUN Sofia 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
29 MISHRA Riona 100% 96% 78% 46% 16% 3% -
30 BREWSTER Ayaki 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% 1%
31 WILLER Anna 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
32 MADDISON Erica 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
33 LIU Teresa 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
34 PATEL Maia 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 20%
35 KABILING Anika Von Marie 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
36 CHEN Chloe 100% 98% 84% 53% 22% 5% -
37 GOEL Lineysha 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
38 FENG chloe 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
39 AN Jasmine 100% 97% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
40 PARAISO Isabella 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
41 LEE Jiyoung 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
42 AN Jamie 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
43 LIAO Audrey 100% 82% 33% 7% 1% -
44 WEI Avril 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
45 JUNG Elise 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
46 ENG Gabrielle 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% -
47 HU Sophia 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
48 POTDAR Harper 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
49 KONDE Anika 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% - -
50 ONG Katherine 100% 94% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
51 MAGITSKY Giadora 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
52 FAZAL Sasha 100% 95% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
53 SAGER Bianca 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% - -
54 MULHERN Eleanor 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
55 WU Jing 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
56 CAO Audrey 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
57 WU Harper 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
58 GROSSMAN Ann 100% 47% 8% 1% - -
59 LIU Alyssa 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
60 RIFKIN Talia 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
61 VINBOR COSTA SANTOS Sasha 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
62 MADDISON Estelle 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.