River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC/Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HU Emily 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
2 DESAI Sabrina 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
3 CHANG Kelly 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
3 YI Victoria 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
5 PETACCHI Lorena 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
6 CHANG Eleanor 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
7 MAZZURCO Marin 100% 96% 73% 32% 5% -
8 RADELL Zoe 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
9 ZHANG Manyao 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
10 ZOLOTUKHINA Adel 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
11 ARANGO Ivanna 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
12 MEYERSTEIN Vivian 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1%
13 HOWELL Vivienne 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
14 MAZZURCO Sydney 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
15 LI Gloria 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
16 NORRIS Phoebe 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% -
18 LIN Martina 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
19 SADHU Mira 100% 64% 22% 4% - -
20 JAVIER Jordan 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
21 CRUZ Lala 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
22 CAO Amanda 100% 80% 39% 11% 1% -
23 D'AMELJ Ludovica 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
23 PAVONY Arya 100% 88% 45% 12% 2% -
25 MCGAHAN Avery 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.