River City Regional Rumble RYC/RJCC/Y8

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, October 25, 2025 at 1:45 PM

Richmond Convention Center - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 1%
2 HONG Catherine 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
3 ABDELKAREM Maya 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
3 RYU Natalee 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
5 WANG Hailie 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
6 LEE Gloria 100% 100% 96% 77% 44% 14% 2%
7 YOU Nina 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5% -
8 KIM Eila 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
9 FAYEZ Malika 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
10 CHUNG Yenna 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
11 ZHAO Crystal 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
12 LEE JiWon 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
13 DONSON Christine 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
14 YAO Nikkie 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
15 MU Jasmine 100% 94% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
16 LAU Carys Bella 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 2% -
17 FRANTZ Sophie 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
18 GALIOTE Nora 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% -
19 MORSTEIN Mira 100% 94% 60% 22% 4% - -
20 SAAD Emmalyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.